OK, solvent retirement living fans, it’s time for the annual proof of the pudding test of Couch Potato investing. That’s where we dispense with statistics...
If the stock market recovers and inflation eases, 2022 will just be a bad memory. If not, we could be looking at a sea change in retirement planning.
b) I don’t know the dollar amount, but I’m sure it would be less than the cost of breakfast at McDonald’s. We’ve had a lot of inflation in 35 years.The correct answers are c and d. . Only 2.1% of those surviving to 65 will live to age 100. So there’s a 98% probability that your portfolio survived quite nicely. But you didn’t.Notwithstanding the being dead part, it’s reassuring to note that 2022 isn’t the first time we’ve had something to worry about when thinking about investments. Back in 1988, we were just exiting the “flash crash” of 1987, worrying about stocks that appeared to be overpriced and concerned about a 4.4% inflation rate that continued rising until it hit 6.
Your 35-year portfolio, for instance, was worth $884,481 at the end of 2021 and declined $155,601 during 2022. That’s a loss greater than its original $100,000 value.The good news here is that the historical evidence shows,, that we can get through some pretty hard times if we keep our investments simple and cheap.
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