Barely 24 hours after he made his candidacy for speaker official in a letter to his fellow GOP, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, R-La., has emerged as the early front-runner in what will likely be a pivotal first vote on Tuesday.
But insiders say while Scalise will grab a majority in Tuesday's GOP conference vote, he will not get the 218 votes needed to win the speakership on the House floor.
Members, many of whom like Scalise, doubt he has the physical health to handle the arduous job of speaker, as well as the demanding travel schedule required during next year's presidential election. Rep. Kevin Hern, R-Okla., chair of the House Republican Study Committee , has strong conservative credentials and appears popular with the Freedom Caucus and establishment types.
Failing to get the ring on the first or opening ballots, the caucus will likely search for a new consensus candidate.
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