San Diego researchers work on forecasting tool for ocean pathogens

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San Diego researchers work on forecasting tool for ocean pathogens
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Scripps Institution of Oceanography researchers hope to use a $3 million state grant to build a tool to help them understand when pathogens will foul the water off Imperial Beach.

Local officials are frustrated by Gov. Gavin Newsom and President Joe Biden’s refusal to issue states of emergency which could free up state and federal funding to fix the cross-border sewage issues.

“Over 110 billion gallons of sewage have poured into the coastline, here in Imperial Beach, since 2018,” said David Alvarez, a California Assembly member who represents San Diego. “It is unacceptable for a beach to be closed as long as it’s been here, anywhere else in our country, anywhere else in California and that’s why it’s time to act.”

At a news conference on Aug. 25, Alvarez joined California state Senators Steve Padilla and Catherine Blakespear, Imperial Beach Mayor Paloma Aguirre and researchers from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography to talk about a new forecasting tool that will help them predict when the ocean will be full of pathogens, and where those pathogens are headed.Become a KPBS sponsorThe Tijuana River, swollen by tropical storm Hilary, is close to emptying into the ocean on Aug. 23, 2023.

San Diego researchers plan to use that money to develop the tool which will not stop the flow of contaminants, but it will help local officials let residents and tourists know when higher risks are coming. “We anticipate having five-day forecasts of the pathogen loads at the beach and human health risks,” said Falk Feddersen of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography. “The vision is that a family, a local family or tourist can look at an app and see, just like you can see with a weather model with weather predictions, whether it’s a good day to take your kids to the beach on the weekend.”

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