'Moscow’s reasoning is as follows: That while hundreds of thousand of civilians heading to the Turkish border in a week may result in international fury, the same over a period of months may not' Opinion | Omer Ozkizilcik
Russia’s strategy in Idlib province appears to be to bite off parts of the territory piece by piece, thereby increasing the flow of civilians to the Turkish border.
The Russian strategy in Idlib can be summarised as a long and slow game aimed at its eventual complete capture, but initially, just control of the planned demilitarised zone agreed to by Ankara and Moscow.An initial escalation in the number of air strikes and artillery bombardments by Russian and Assad regime forces in November was followed by a ground offensive, which started on December 19.
Under the Sochi Memorandum, the demilitarised zone was meant to remain under the control of the Syrian opposition once heavy weaponry and radical elements were removed. Many of those in the Idlib area are Syrians who have been displaced from other cities targeted by regime air raids and atrocities, such as Aleppo, Ghouta, Homs, and Deraa. The makeshift camps of northern Idlib have become their last sanctuary within Syria, as they have for locals of Idlibs who come from territories captured by regime forces.
One needs to be mindful that such an influx of refugees will be different from previous flows in Turkey. Turkish society will not welcome the new arrivals as they did before, and neither will these new refugees be as appreciative of Turkey as earlier refugees were.Russia’s strategy As things stand, a ceasefire is agreed to by Ankara and Moscow and violence slowly escalates to the point of a fully Russian backed ground operation. Negotiations then bring a pause to the fighting before resuming after sooner or later.Moscow supports the Assad regime’s ‘every inch’ policy of recapturing all of the territories it lost to the opposition militarily.
Brasil Últimas Notícias, Brasil Manchetes
Similar News:Você também pode ler notícias semelhantes a esta que coletamos de outras fontes de notícias.
Trump warns Syria, Russia and Iran against killing 'innocent civilians' in Idlib provinceTrump warns Syria, Russia and Iran against killing “innocent civilians” in Idlib province
Consulte Mais informação »
Trump sends warning to Assad and his allies against Syrian military offensiveOn Twitter Thursday, President Donald Trump warned Syria's Bashar al Assad and his backers, Iran and Russia, to halt an operation on the Idlib province.
Consulte Mais informação »
Trump tweets warning to Russia, Iran against killing ‘innocent civilians’ in SyriaThousands of civilians have fled fighting in Syria for the border with Turkey.
Consulte Mais informação »
China, Russia and Iran to hold joint naval drills from FridayA joint naval exercise between China, Russia and Iran in the Indian Ocean and Gulf of Oman brings together three of the United States' chief global rivals at one of the world's most sensitive hotspots
Consulte Mais informação »
Russia can finish Nord Stream 2 within couple of months: Ifax cites NovakRussia can finish the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline to Germany ...
Consulte Mais informação »