Ukraine's frozen ground is expected to thaw soon, turning the war-torn nation's fields and rural roads into a quagmire for troops and tanks.
Russia is believed to be on the precipice of launching a new, large-scale offensive in Ukraine but it's likely to encounter a familiar obstacle.
Wreckage of Russian military vehicles, destroyed by Ukrainian Forces during a counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region, lie in a mud in a forest on September 22, 2022 in Izium, Ukraine.Ukraine and many Western analysts believe Russia is on the precipice of launching a new, large-scale offensive but it's likely to encounter a familiar obstacle: mud.
Ukrainian servicemen push a car stuck in mud on a field road on the frontline in Donetsk region, on December 17, 2022, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine.While the war has changed since the last muddy spring season — with Russia now concentrating its forces on an expected, large-scale offensive focused on fully occupying eastern Ukraine — the arrival of spring is expected to bring familiar challenges for both sides, as well as unknowns around the direction the conflict will take.
Over the coming week, however, forecasts suggest soil temperature increases and snow melt are likely to deteriorate cross country mobility across the Donbas, the ministry noted. Analysts say that Russia will launch a new large-scale offensive within the next couple of weeks and could look to make gains before the "rasputitsa" sets in.
A military man makes his way through the mud to a church destroyed due to hostilities on September 24, 2022 in the Kharkiv region.Ukraine has urgent, pressing problems to contend with before the mud arrives with its forces observing Russian forces slowly but surely approaching and encircling the Donetsk city of Bakhmut. The city is now in a precarious position although Ukraine has vowed to fight on, for now, the question of whether it will withdraw its forces has become salient.
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