Zach Eflin's ERA bumps on the road, but he's maintained excellent control, and should still put in a quality outing against the Cubs. Find out how Covers_Ro's MLB picks are targeting the Rays hurler.
While the Rays have an MLB-best 39-18 record this season, they've gone a modest 13-12 in away contests and have lost four in a row on the road. Meanwhile, theThe Rays are sending veteran Eflin to the hill while the Cubs are replying with, and while they've gone a combined 13-3 this season, one of them will wind up on the losing side today.
Eflin has been lights out in his first season with the Rays, pitching to a 3.17 ERA through nine starts, and his expected ERA of 2.98 indicates that it's been more than luck. That said, Eflin's ERA jumps to 5.29 on the road, where he has an OBA of .294 across three starts. Steele has a sizzling 2.77 ERA across 11 starts and his average exit velocity and hard-hit rate rank in the top fifth percentile of all pitchers. However, he's allowed five earned runs in two of his last three starts, and the Rays are the best-hitting team in the majors with an OPS of .832 — more than 40 points higher than second-place Texas.
The Cubs have been solid at the dish and rank 10th in the majors in OPS but their lineup hasn't displayed anywhere near as much consistency or power as Tampa Bay's.
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