Today’s main line of storms is moving east toward the D.C. area this afternoon. It will affect western areas earliest, while east of town may see impacts later — perhaps closer to 8 p.m.
A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 8 p.m., adding to the watches already hoisted north and south of the core D.C. area. The potential for wind damage from any severe storms should wane after 7 p.m. south and east of town — but the threat of flooding downpours won’t diminish until after 10 p.m.
Here’s a county-by-county estimate for the timing of the main line of storms, which may possess wind in addition to downpours:2-5 p.m.: Carroll, Fairfax, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Prince William, Stafford4-8 p.m.: Anne Arundel, Calvert, St. Mary’s The biggest threat into tonight is flooding from thunderstorm downpours, pegged at over a 40 percent chance, highlighted below in the red-orange “moderate” shading.
After the primary flooding threat from these storms this afternoon and evening, damaging wind gusts are the next-most-likely threat. See the area highlighted yellow in the bottom-right panel of the maps below. This indicates at least a 15 percent chance of damaging wind. In the upper-left panel, the areas shaded yellow have a 40 percent chance of seeing severe storms today.
Remember: Turn around — don’t drown! Never approach or try to travel through a flooded area. We’ll talk more about this tonight in our weekly Sunday Sunset Live Q&A chat. Tune in at 8:36 p.m.
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