Pac-12 Hotline's survival guide: Examining the Fear Index as vultures circle and uncertainty looms

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Pac-12 Hotline's survival guide: Examining the Fear Index as vultures circle and uncertainty looms
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Some schools have good reason to worry; others do not.

Jon Wilner San Jose Mercury News Welcome to the sixth installment in a Hotline series on the future of the Pac-12. Links to previous articles are below …

With the Pac-12 fighting for survival following the announced departures of USC and UCLA, the Hotline has attempted to sketch the widest range of scenarios for the 107-year-old conference — from mergers and acquisitions to the status quo and extinction.What appears plausible today could be impractical tomorrow.The conference could hold together and not expand, thus dividing the revenue pie 10 ways instead of 12.

If it replaces the Los Angeles schools, two options stand above others for strategic value: San Diego State, because of the proximity to Southern California, and SMU, because of the foothold in Dallas.

It’s unlikely, sure. But don’t discount the potential for this wave of realignment to conclude somewhere outside the box. With that, the Hotline presents the first edition of our Pac-12 Fear Index, a school-by-school breakdown of destinations and anxiety levels.Outlook: So long as the administrations in Tucson and Tempe move in lockstep, the Wildcats should land safely. But in the unlikely event that the fracture we saw in California — with UCLA splitting off from Cal despite sharing a board of regents — were to repeat in Arizona, the situation could get worrisome for the Wildcats.

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