Opinion: The presidential primary process is broken. Here’s how we can fix it.
Democratic presidential candidate Beto O'Rourke stands on a stump to give a speech at the Mowry Irvine Mansion in Marshalltown, Iowa, on April 5. By Brian Klaas Brian Klaas DemocracyPost contributor Email Bio Follow DemocracyPost contributor May 1 at 1:53 PM In nine months, fewer than 200,000 Iowans will cram into a series of high school gymnasiums and church basements. They won’t look much like a mirror of America. A disproportionate number of them will be rural farmers.
Since 1972, only one major-party presidential candidate has won his party’s nomination without winning either Iowa or New Hampshire . There have been 18 competitive races to be the Republican or Democratic nominee for president in that period. In 95 percent of those races, the path to victory went through either Iowa or New Hampshire. All four of the most recent Democratic nominees won Iowa.
Furthermore, the Iowans who participate in the caucuses aren’t even representative of Iowa. Only 7 percent of eligible Iowans participated in the highly competitive 2016 Democratic caucus. And there are skews within that group, too. A single parent juggling two jobs has a harder time setting aside a few hours walking around a gymnasium simply to have his or her voice heard.
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