OPEC in the dark on oil supply as Russia, Iran cut exports

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OPEC in the dark on oil supply as Russia, Iran cut exports
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OPEC is in the dark on the oil supply outlook for the second half of this year, ...

DUBAI/LONDON - OPEC is in the dark on the oil supply outlook for the second half of this year, with Iranian and Russian outages looking increasingly significant but Saudi Arabia reluctant to pump more due to fears of a price crash, sources in the organization said.

Iran’s oil exports are likely to drop further in May as the United States tightens the screw on Tehran’s main source of income. Shipments from Venezuela, also under U.S. sanctions, could fall more in coming weeks. Other OPEC sources said there were conflicting views on the significance of the Russian outage, and that the complexity of Russia’s pipeline system meant the issue was not straightforward.SUPPLY DROP

That would further tighten the market, with OPEC signaling even before the Druzhba outage that demand would exceed supply by more than 800,000 bpd in the third quarter. OPEC, Russia and other non-member producers are reducing output by 1.2 million bpd from Jan. 1 for six months, a deal designed to stop inventories building up and weakening prices.

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