The Vikings haven’t gotten many breaks to go their way during their 0-3 start.
Three weeks into the 2023 season, the Vikings rank last in win probability added via"luck," according to NFL data scientist Tom Bliss.The Vikings have not gotten very lucky this year.@DataWithBlissThe Vikings, who ranked fifth last season, are in last by a large margin, mostly due to the success of their opponents' kicking games.
The makes from 57 and 61 are deemed unlucky for the Vikings, and the misses from 55 and 53 don't negate that very much because the make probabilities were already somewhat low. The McLaughlin miss was particularly impactful to"win probability" because it came late in the fourth quarter of a tie game.These values are measured by calculating the win probability of the observed outcome and subtracting the expected win probability based on the likelihood of each luck outcome.
Lastly, the Vikings haven't benefited from many dropped interceptions or dropped passes by their opponents. The two plays from Sunday's loss to the Chargers that summed up the Vikings' season were Akayleb Evans' dropped INT that became a touchdown and T.J. Hockenson's dropped touchdown that became an INT.
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