A new state law could drop voters from the permanent early voting list, which remains popular among Arizonans.
, even among these states, Arizona stands out as a focal point for the fight over voting rights.
Like in much of the Western United States, Arizonans have a robust history of casting their votes by mail. Since 2010, an average of two-thirds of the electorate has voted by mail. Like, Arizona has allowed voters to sign up to receive a ballot in the mail for all elections, obviating the need to fill out a new absentee ballot request form for each and every contest.
In Arizona, voters do not self-identify their race or ethnicity when they register to vote. To estimate each voter’s race or ethnicity, we use a technique common among political scientists called, which predicts race/ethnicity based on each voter’s last name and the demographics of the census block in which they live.
The chart below shows the share of each racial/ethnic group that is at risk of being dropped from the early voting list. About 11.6 percent of voters — or more than 340,000 Arizonans — are at risk of being removed, but there are clear racial disparities. While just 8.4 percent of white voters on the list went four years without voting by mail, this was the case for more than 21.1 percent of Latino voters.
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