DAILY ON DEFENSE: • No end in sight • Putin's in a box • Getting to a turning point
NO END IN SIGHT: It seems certain that 2023 will be a critical year for the war in Ukraine as the ravages of Vladimir Putin’s illegal and ill-conceived invasion exact a terrible toll on both sides. It seems equally likely the war will not end this year, with both sides committed to demands for the other’s total capitulation.
Ukraine claimed 400 enemy dead, 300 wounded. Russia confirmed only 63 deaths. But Putin continues to project an image of a leader undeterred by the mounting casualty count. “This war is rapidly evolving into a World War I kind of trench warfare where the Russians are really emplacing their positions in Donbas. And it is going to take massive fire support. Not necessarily artillery, could be aircraft, but we're not giving them the aircraft they need,” said Clark.
HAPPENING TODAY ON THE HILL: Today marks the beginning of the 118th Congress and the day Republicans take control of the House of Representatives by a slim 222-213 margin. The first order of business is to elect a new speaker, which is decided by a vote of all 435 House members, with GOP hopeful Rep. Kevin McCarthy needing 218 votes, or a majority of those voting, to secure the leadership position he has coveted for years.
“In the days after January 6th, nearly all members of Congress knew what had happened was profoundly wrong,” wrote Chairman Bennie Thompson and Vice Chairwoman Liz Cheney in a goodbye message. “The Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy said so publicly, indicating that President Trump ‘bears responsibility,’ and privately telling his colleagues that he would recommend that Trump resign from office. But just weeks later, the defense of the indefensible began.
The transcripts paint a picture of how Trump’s impulsive leadership style continually upended the Pentagon’s deliberative policymaking process, including bolt-from-blue orders for a total withdrawal from Afghanistan and Somalia and questionable edicts to punish Trump’s political enemies. Milley was also aghast that Trump wanted to recall active-duty and court-martial retired generals who criticized him publicly. “And there was actually discussions with me: Bring him back on active duty, court-martial him, you know, make him walk the plank sort of thing,” said Milley, who said he advised strongly against it, even when it came to Flynn, who he said played a part in Jan. 6 and was “saying and doing things” he fundamentally disagreed with.
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