NFL betting: How to bet Lions-Chiefs season opener

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NFL betting: How to bet Lions-Chiefs season opener
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The 2023 NFL season starts Thursday night when the Detroit Lions face the Kansas City Chiefs. No more camp battles or clips of over-the-shoulder catches in mesh jerseys. It's nothing but meaningful football from here on out.

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - AUGUST 26: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs walks off the field after consoling an injured Cleveland Browns player during the first quarter of a preseason game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on August 26, 2023 in Kansas City, Missouri. The 2023 NFL season starts Thursday night when the Detroit Lions face the Kansas City Chiefs. No more camp battles or clips of over-the-shoulder catches in mesh jerseys.

Let the real handicapping begin. You didn’t think the most efficient betting market in all of sports would give you a layup in the first game, did you? All the data points pieced together from the summer in preparation for this game now get an asterisk. How much does Kelce matter? It's hard to tell because there is such a limited sample size of Mahomes stepping on the field without him. Last season, we found out that the Chiefs didn't need much else besides their QB/TE combo.

Where do we turn from here? Do we just take the short number with the underdog Lions and hope there is enough rah-rah in the pregame speech to stop Mahomes? If I wasn’t taking the Lions at +6.5, I am not biting on them now.Kansas City -4.5 Kansas City is always at its best when Andy Reid has additional time to prepare. Per Josh Ingles at Covers, Reid has covered the spread in 70% of his season openers with the Chiefs and 80% with Mahomes under center. The potential loss of Kelce isn’t ideal, but the Chiefs still have plenty of ways to move the football. It could carve out a bigger role for Isiah Pacheco, if Reid chooses to exploit the Lions on the ground.

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