The Bills provided the blueprint to make life miserable for Sam Howell. Expect the Eagles to follow suit in Neil Greenberg’s Week 4 best bet.
Washington raised expectations by starting 2-0 with wins over the Cardinals and Denver Broncos before, producing just 0.3 points per drive in the loss. The biggest problem appears to be quarterback Sam Howell; sacks have cost the team an estimated 10 points per game and Howell has cost Washington seven points a game due to interceptions, per data from TruMedia.
If you are feeling frisky, I think it is worth using a “no sweat” token on the Eagles -13½ points, or a boost to get the Eagles at a price at or beyond +160 . My own line for this game is Eagles -9½.This is a look-ahead line that appears off to me.
Here are some notes on these two teams heading into Week 4. Buffalo is averaging 2.8 points per drive, second-most in the league, while the Jaguars average 1.5 points per drive, ranking 24th. Buffalo has a pressure rate of 41 percent, which we saw doto the tune of nine sacks. Jacksonville pressures the opposing quarterback only 27 percent of the time. Jags quarterback Trevor Lawrence’s passer rating this season has dropped from 95.4 in a clean pocket to 53.1 under pressure.
I played this line when it was Bills -4 on the open and think Buffalo should be six-point favorites on a neutral field.The plays above represent our best bets of the week because our analysis shows their value is the most lucrative compared with what we expect to happen on the field. Below, you will find against-the-spread picks for all of the games on this week’s schedule. However, trying to pick every game is something of a fool’s errand.
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