The former deputy chief of U.S. Cyber Command has warned of the dangers of nation-state cyber weapons in terrorist hands.
The most serious cyber warfare threats facing the West come from China and Russia, that much is undebatable, with Iran and North Korea a step or two behind. Those CRINK nation states occupy most of the strategic mindshare within the defense and intelligence agencies charged with keeping us safe. But now Lt.-Gen Vincent Stewart, former deputy chief of U.S. Cyber Command and director of the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency, has warned that we need to urgently broaden our thinking.
With this in mind, Stewart has warned that if al-Qaeda or ISIS were able to purchase cyberattack capabilities or even services from such a group then swathes of critical infrastructure could be at risk. Russia and China have such capabilities, but play the balance between impact and implications—causing damage but stopping short of prompting devastating repercussions. Terror groups have no such constraints and often operate at the margins of their capabilities.
Stewart did acknowledge that Russia remains the most likely perpetrator of a broad scale attack, “viewing itself as a global power” and “Putin believing he is almost the czar.” As such, the limited deployment of cyber weapons by the U.S. was a cause for concern—an overly conservative attitude of the past. “Russia will not back off unless we stand up and show we are willing to fight back,” which presents that retaliation dilemma.
"When people ask me what keeps you up at night," Lt. Gen. Robert Ashley, the current director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, a cyber conference in Aspen earlier this year,"that is kind of the thing that keeps me up at night."
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