As a hitter, Shohei Ohtani fits into a group with a few other star-level sluggers. As a pitcher, Ohtani is bracketed pretty well by two relatively recent deals within the NL East. So could he be MLB's first $500 million player? TimBritton analyzes:
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Over the last 15 years, more than 45 percent of contract extensions were signed in February, March or April, according to, looking at some of the biggest names under current team control and what an extension could look like.Here’s how I go about this: I’ve got a big Excel spreadsheet with about 900 free-agent and extension contracts in it, as well as players’ performance in the years leading up to those contracts, as defined by FanGraphs’ wins above replacement.
• For starting pitchers and position players, I look at fWAR in one-, three- and five-year samples, with a special emphasis on the shorter term. For extensions in particular, the five-year sample is less helpful because a lot of players haven’t been playing five full years.
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