The Republican Party is left with three options for preserving its medium-term competitiveness in national elections
The kids aren’t alt-right. Photo: Kena Betancur/AFP/Getty Images Voting Republican has become an activity analogous to reminiscing about air-raid drills or complaining incessantly about back pain: ordinary for boomers, but a marker of eccentricity among the young.
This is a big problem for the GOP. For a while, a rightward drift among boomers — combined with millennials’ woeful turnout rates — kept Republicans from paying much of a price for refusing to update its agenda for the rising generations. But in 2018, the oldest Gen-Zers entered the electorate, and millennial turnout surged.
Thus far, the GOP appears to be opting for a combination of two and three. But their hopes that millennials will be “mugged by reality” look increasingly dim. For one thing, political science research suggests that a voter’s partisan preferences tend to be deeply informed by their evaluations of presidential performance in adolescence and early adulthood. Americans who came of age during the Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon presidencies leaned Democratic for years after.
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