Democrats and Republicans can at least agree on one thing: They have no idea what's going to happen in next year's Arizona Senate race.
Sinema has not yet said if she plans on running for reelection. If she does jump in, she'd ensure a race with three major candidates in a state where voters unaffiliated with the two major parties outnumber both Republicans and Democrats, complicating tidy assumptions about who would emerge the winner.just under 35% of Arizona voters are registered Republicans and 30% are registered Democrats, while 35% aren't registered with either.
Nineteen operatives from both parties who spoke with ABC News for this story mostly thought that Sinema would run again, pointing to her ongoing fundraising and continued involvement in high-profile legislative pushes like on immigration. "Overall, I think the state of Arizona is content with the work that Sen. Sinema done," said Cesar Chavez, a former Democratic state lawmaker. "The issues that Sen. Sinema ... has advocated for, and has been very successful in doing so, will definitely result in a positive tick in her numbers."
"They say actions speak louder than words, and she has reached across the aisle probably more than anybody else I know in the entire Congress to forge solutions," said one former colleague, who asked not to be quoted by name. "She can run on a platform of 'promises made, promises kept.' And I think it's a very strong message."
All of this will play out in the larger context of the battle for the Senate, with the Democratic caucus holding a 51-49 majority but defending 23 seats in 2024, making operatives eager to avoid a spoiler candidate but without any agreement on who that would be.
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