A clear Labour majority in 2024 looks more likely as a result
LABOUR COULD scarcely have received a bigger fillip in the run-up to its annual party conference, which starts in Liverpool this weekend. On October 5th voters in a by-election in Rutherglen and Hamilton West, a suburb south of Glasgow, signalled that they had had enough of the Scottish National Party , the dominant force in Scottish politics in recent years. Nearly 59% of voters plumped for Labour’s Michael Shanks, a secondary-school teacher . Katy Loudon, the SNP’s candidate, got only 27.
Psephologists reckon that every dozen seats Labour picks up in Scotland knocks a couple of points off the lead it would need elsewhere in Britain to win a majority in Parliament. Returning to health in Scotland makes Labour’s job in England easier in another way, too. In recent years the Conservatives have warned English voters that a weak Labour government would be in the “pocket” of the bullying SNP, and give in to its demands for a second independence referendum.
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