John Gaughan: The latest on Ian and impacts on Jacksonville as of Sunday morning

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John Gaughan: The latest on Ian and impacts on Jacksonville as of Sunday morning
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TROPICS UPDATE 🌀: Meteorologist John Gaughan takes a look at what Jacksonville will most likely see later this week as Tropical Storm Ian intensifies and moves north towards Florida.

There was great hope that with better high-density data, the forecast models would agree better. Unfortunately, that hasn’t happened, and just three days before the rains begin to fall across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, we are still attempting to figure out the potential impacts.Ian projected to become hurricane Sunday, expected to reach Category 4 strength on track toward Florida

Ian is no Irma, and we should not anticipate similar impacts. Irma was a massive hurricane whose wind field was hundreds of miles wide. Ian will be rapidly weakening and a far smaller system should it track similar to the Euro projection .as well, especially if Ian takes a more westerly track towards the Panhandle .

Despite the anticipated track now being to Jacksonville’s west, we could still see squalls of rain that could have winds to over 45 mph, which may cause power outages. These power outages should be scattered.

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