It’s pretty clear in retrospect that Biden owes everything to black voters
Uncle Joe gives thanks. Photo: Samuel Corum/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock With Bernie Sanders’s decision to suspend his presidential campaign, Joe Biden is not just the “presumptive” Democratic nominee, but the putative nominee: it’s in the bag unless something extremely weird happens. So we can now begin to look at his successful campaign for this designation in the rearview mirror.
Booker never caught fire much of anywhere, and despite spending a lot of time in South Carolina, never showed any signs of cutting into Biden’s black support there. Harris had one moment of hope after politely brutalizing Biden’s record on school desegregation in a June 2019 debate, and even saw a spike in black support in South Carolina.
Had Biden slipped behind Pete Buttigieg in Nevada, where the former mayor put on a strong and well-financed effort, he might have been written off for good. And according to entrance polls, Biden trailed Mayor Pete by four points among white voters in the state, and didn’t beat him that badly among Latinos. But among the 11 percent of Nevada caucus-goers who are African-American, Biden trounced Buttigieg 38/2 and nailed down the runner-up position behind Sanders.
Between centrists looking for a champion against Bernie and regular Democrats wanting a viable alternative to either career non-Democrat, the former veep has a strong potential coalition and — if he can strongly outperform Bloomberg on Super Tuesday — a good shot at his own two-candidate race against Bernie.
5. Vaulting Him Into the Lead on Super Tuesday On March 3, Biden began putting together the coalition of minority and white-suburban supporters that made him the nominee via wins in 10 of the 14 states holding contests that day. Again, though, African-Americans were his base: According to exit polls he won 58 percent of black voters across this vast landscape.
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