The narrative that the Democratic primary has collapsed into a three-way race between Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders is still going strong—but is it correct? NateSilver538 breaks it down:
Note: Steve Bullock was demoted into the “everyone else” tier.
Even if you do have Biden, Warren and Sanders as your top three candidates , there’s no particular reason to draw a firm line at three candidates as opposed to some other number. If you’re just looking at national polls, then Biden’s still in a tier by himself. Prediction markets basically have it as a two-horse race between Warren and Biden.
Technically speaking, the chart covers the first half of the year before the election — we’re now in the second half — but it would look essentially the same if you ran it with second half data instead so we’re just going to run with it.Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.
Brasil Últimas Notícias, Brasil Manchetes
Similar News:Você também pode ler notícias semelhantes a esta que coletamos de outras fontes de notícias.
Warren waves away talk of a debate confrontation with BidenThe Democratic debate in Houston this week has been billed as Elizabeth Warren's first chance to go head-to-head with former Vice President Joe Biden now that she has reached top-tier status in an array of national and state polls.
Consulte Mais informação »
More Than 50% of Millennials Trying To Incorporate Plant-Based Foods Into Their DietIt’s the diet of the moment. Food brands, restaurants, meal delivery kits, public schools, even presidential candidates are all talking plant-based foods.
Consulte Mais informação »
Tunisia’s presidential race starts with one candidate in jailAs the election campaign gains momentum, the country's media tycoon Nabil Karoui remains imprisoned in a highly politicised case, raising questions about the judiciary's non-interference in court cases.
Consulte Mais informação »
17 Servers Who Even Make Chick-Fil-A's Customer Service Look BadThese waiters and waitresses truly went above and beyond.
Consulte Mais informação »
Tom Steyer qualifies for October debateBillionaire Tom Steyer has qualified for the October Democratic primary debates, the eleventh candidate to do so
Consulte Mais informação »