Investors are hedging around the possibility of a very negative event a year from now, and it could be they are worried about an “election apocalypse,” according to BTIG strategist Julian Emanuel.
"To hedge out past the election, the price of downside puts relative to upside calls is literally pricing an election apocalypse," said Emanuel. "We have said it forecasts either a less business friendly attitude or a civilizational conflict with China after the election."
Those fearing a less business friendly environment could be hedging against a Democrat, like Sen. Elizabeth Warren or Sen. Bernie Sanders winning. On the other hand, investors could fear President Donald Trump's trade war with China will continue and get worse after the election.
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