Investors are still bearish -- but getting a little less pessimistic, survey finds
The American Association of Individual Investors sentiment survey for the week ending Sept. 5 found 39.5% bearish against 28.6% bullish, compared with 42.2% bearish and 26.1% bearish for the prior week. Some analysts regard the high level of bearishness on Wall Street as a contraindicator— meaning that high degrees of optimism or pessimism tend to result in returns for stock benchmarks going in the opposite direction of sentiment.
The bearishness comes at a time when bond flows are at a six-year high, implying that investors are running toward the perceived safety of assets like the 10-year Treasury note and gold futures. He suggested that if the next economic recession is milder than expected, and if the millennials drive a recovery on household formation in the way that the baby boomers did, there may be upside to come.
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