INDIA Rupee outlook positive, cenbank eyed; bond yields likely to rise

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INDIA Rupee outlook positive, cenbank eyed; bond yields likely to rise
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The Indian rupee is likely to rise further this week on the back of a struggling U.S. dollar but traders were inclined to be wary of possible dollar-buying intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) that could limit sharp gains.

The rupee climbed 1.7% to 81.3250 per dollar last week, tracking a broad decline in the dollar index . The local currency is expected to trade between 80.80 to 81.70 this week.

There are a lot of positives for the rupee, including the Fed view, the broadly stable oil prices and the fall in Treasury yields, said Anil Bhansali, head of treasury at Finrex Treasury Advisors. Meanwhile, Indian government bond yields may inch higher after a decline in the previous week, as investor focus is expected to shift to worries over an announcement about elevated borrowing in the federal budget, due to be presented on Feb. 1.

Market participants have so far pegged gross borrowing above 15.50 trillion rupees for the next fiscal, and this may continue to put upward pressure in the run up to the budget. The yield is expected to move between 7.28%-7.35% during this week.

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