The war impulse takes on its own momentum.
Nor do you have to be a genius to read between the lines of quotes like these: “Taken as a whole, these unprovoked attacks present a clear threat to international peace and security.” That’s prelude-to-war talk, laying the groundwork for future action.
These are critical petroleum shipping lanes, and while it would seem foolhardy for Iran to engage in this kind of brinkmanship while the White House is occupied by unapologetic war hawks, it’s theoretically possible. Iranian officials on Thursday suggested the new attacks might be the product of an elaborate conspiracy by their enemies, seemingly pointing to American allies like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates or Israel, which have long urged Washington to take a more muscular approach to Iran.
However, even if Iran is responsible, there’s a reason this is happening now, and it also goes back to the administration—Trump pulled the U.S. out of the JCPOA last May, and re-instituted harsh sanctions last November that not only hit Iran, but also came with “secondary sanctions” designed to prevent other parties from doing business with them. The E.U. fought back against Trump’s plan, but there’s so only much they can do when businesses are essentially forced to choose between the two.
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