Members of Generation Z are getting their driver’s licenses at lower rates than their predecessors. The question — for American drivers and for the planet — is whether that trend will last.
That shift reverberated on the nation’s roads and highways. The average number of vehicle miles driven by young people dropped 24 percent between 2001 and 2009, according to afrom the Frontier Group and the U.S. Public Interest Research Group. And at the same time, vehicle miles traveled per person in the United States — which had been climbing for more than 50 years — began to plateau.
Researchers at the time didn’t know whether the trend would hold. “There was speculation at the time that millennials would ultimately drive as much as baby boomers” once they passed the same life stages, explained Zhang, the U.T. Austin professor.Zhang and his co-authors released last year, adult millennials continue to drive around 8 percent less every day than members of Generation X and baby boomers.
youngest members are only 10 years old, and the covid-19 pandemic has likely interrupted some driving plans of older Gen Zers. Researchers say that more studies will be needed to evaluate whether Zoomers end up driving even less than millennials. “We just don’t know that much about Gen Z yet,” said Tony Dutzik, a senior policy analyst at Frontier Group.
But, he added, data has shown that U.S. car culture isn’t as strong as it once was. “Up through the baby boom generation, every generation drove more than the last,” Dutzik said. Forecasters expected that trend to continue, with driving continuing to skyrocket well. “But what we saw with millennials, I think very clearly, is that trend stopped,” Dutzik said.
If Gen Zers continue to eschew driving, it could have significant effects on the country’s carbon emissions. Transportation is
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