How Trump’s False Dorian Forecast Sparked a Crisis at NOAA

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How Trump’s False Dorian Forecast Sparked a Crisis at NOAA
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It emerged Monday that Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross threatened to fire top NOAA employees after subordinates contradicted President Trump by issuing factual weather information

Illustration: Tim O’Brien The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the parent agency of the National Weather Service, is supposed to serve an apolitical mission of supporting scientists and their research, collecting data, and informing the American public — which, in the case of severe weather, can save lives.

The president was mistaken: Up-to-date NWS forecasts predicted virtually no impact on the state. At worst, in a few unlikely scenarios, a sliver of the state might have been brushed with tropical-storm-force winds from the outermost edge of the storm, but Dorian was expected remain out of range to the east.

NWS Birmingham’s Sunday tweet, the NOAA statement claimed, “spoke in absolute terms that were inconsistent with probabilities from the best forecast products available at the time.” Per the unnamed NOAA meteorologist who spoke with the Post, the top official fired off an agency-wide directive instructing National Weather Service staffers not to “provide any opinion” and to “only stick with National Hurricane Center forecasts if questions arise from some national level social media posts which hit the news this afternoon.

On Twitter, NBC Sports journalist Craig Calcaterra passed along a similarly shocked reaction from his father, who also worked for the NWS: The president of the NWS labor union quickly emphasized that “the hard working employees of the NWS had nothing to do with the utterly disgusting and disingenuous [statement] sent out by NOAA management.”

Another former NOAA official, Monica Medina, went so far as call for a congressional investigation into who authorized the unattributed statement.

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