How strikes could shake up the Oscar race: 'People are terrified about the optics'

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How strikes could shake up the Oscar race: 'People are terrified about the optics'
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With WGA and SAG-AFTRA on strike, this year's Oscar race will unspool very differently. And it could mean a 'dream scenario' for 'Barbie' and 'Oppenheimer.'

Signaling increasing frustration with the Writers Guild of America, Hollywood studios took the unusual step of publicizing their latest offer to the guild.The situation is, as they say, fluid. Talking to personal publicists and awards consultants around town — all commenting on the condition of anonymity to speak freely — there is only one certainty at the moment: Everyone is watching to see what everyone else is going to do.

“No one wants to break the seal,” says one awards campaigner who has several films playing at the major festivals. “People are terrified about the optics. No one wants to get roasted on social media because they went to a premiere and said the wrong thing or wore a dress that was deemed too fancy.” With the Oscars seven months away, does any of this really matter? In many respects, no, particularly against the backdrop of actors and writers fighting for their livelihoods while studio and streamer execs cool out on theirBut what happens at these festivals often establishes a template for what is to come throughout the endless awards season. When

received a six-minute standing ovation at Venice last year following the premiere screening of “The Whale,” cameras caught him getting choked up. Immediately, a comeback narrative was born.won him the OscarSuch moments figure to be in short supply in Venice, though apparently actors from other movies with interim SAG agreements like Mads Mikkelsen and Caleb Landry Jones and Jojo T. Gibbs will be attending.

Meanwhile, Telluride, which starts Thursday, will be largely unaffected by the strikes, as its removed Rocky Mountains setting has always catered more to filmmakers and cineastes than celebrities. Toronto, on the other hand, relies on red-carpet events. As such, TIFF has gone heavy on movies directed by stars this year, including films by

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