Georgia’s Senate race between Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker will go to a run-off. The idea that control of America’s Senate might hinge on a too-close-to-call race in the state would have seemed implausible just a decade ago
that control of America’s Senate would hinge on a too-close-to-call race in Georgia, as it might this year, would have seemed implausible just a decade ago. Both of its senators were Republicans. Outside of its main cities and a few small, heavily African-American counties, Georgia was solidly Republican.
Go back another 50 years to the early 1960s, and the proposition would have been downright laughable. The South was solidly Democratic, but not left-wing. Southern segregationists were in uneasy coalition with northern urban liberals, and had been since Abraham Lincoln, a hated Republican, won the civil war. The story of how Georgia came to swing is a story of growth, diversification and realignment—a familiar and ongoing one across much of the American South.
In 1978, a young Republican history professor making his third run for Congress won for the first time. Newt Gingrich was ambitious. He told a consultant in 1979 that he wanted to be Speaker of the House, a goal he would attain 16 years later, having led Republicans to control of the House for the first time in 42 years following the midterm elections of 1994. And he was media-savvy. It was never clear, aside from personal power and victory over his opponents, what Mr Gingrich stood for.
Forsyth County today still stands out, demographically, among Atlanta’s diversifying counties. Although its white population has fallen below 70%, it is less than 5% black—a strikingly low share in a region that is more than one-third African-American.
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