'I always tell people it's unlikely the prime minister's deal will get through, but it's still the likeliest option,' one Conservative MP told BI.
MPs are inching towards supporting Theresa May's Brexit deal.Conservative minister Margot James told BI that Labour's support for a second referendum could push some Labour MPs in Leave-voting seats to support May's Brexit deal.
However, May still faces a huge challenge to get the deal through parliament. It was defeated by 230 votes in January, meaning a total of 116 MPs need to drop their opposition to the deal before it can pass through parliament. Consider the Labour MPs who defied the party whip to vote against Yvette Cooper's amendment which sought to take a no-deal Brexit off the table in January, as the above chart shows.
"There is great concern among a minority of Labour MPs who represent constituencies that voted to leave [the EU] about their new policy of backing a second referendum," Digital Minister Margot James told Business Insider this week. The group had previously cited the £39 billion Brexit divorce bill and the UK's continuing participation in the European Court of Justice as reasons why it could not support the deal.
While the EU will not allow her to reopen the Withdrawal Agreement, there is a good chance they will produce something in the form of an additional document — known as an addendum or codicil — that may be enough to win over many Brexiteer MP.
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