Hotter US Inflation Reignites EUR/USD Downtrend, EUR/GBP Eases

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Hotter US Inflation Reignites EUR/USD Downtrend, EUR/GBP Eases
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US CPI provides the latest catalyst for FX markets, stymying the recent countertrend move. EUR/USD heads lower as does EUR/GBP

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ECB minutes revealed it was a close call to raise interest rates for the tenth and possibly last time, the last time the Governing Council met. The majority of officials anticipate that record high interest rates will play a huge role in forcing inflation back to the 2% target. Now the focus turns to the European economy which has had to endure the effects of elevated prices during a globalslowdown that has heavily impacted its major trading partner, China. The German manufacturing sector has been particularly hard hit, leading the rest of Europe lower. No doubt the ECB will be watching government bond yields after higher US borrowing costs led the way for other developed markets.

The higher inflation print sees EUR/USD resume the longer-term downtrend after turning around 1.0635 – the 31st of May swing low. 1.0520 is the next level of support which may coincide with trendline support.pair resumes the shorter-term move lower as the daily chart reflects higher upper wicks on the daily chart – a rejection of higher prices. Prices now approach the underside of the descending channel after crossing below 0.8635 – a prior key level of resistance.

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