Here are the top 10 themes for markets and the global economy for 2023, according to BofA

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Here are the top 10 themes for markets and the global economy for 2023, according to BofA
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As is customary in the latter half of the fourth quarter, market strategists and economists across Wall Street have been publishing year-ahead outlooks...

As is customary in the latter half of the fourth quarter, market strategists and economists across Wall Street have been publishing year-ahead outlooks outlining the top trades and themes across markets for the year ahead.

Some of the biggest themes for markets include the notion that markets won’t turn “risk on” until midyear, that a global recession is all but inevitable, and the notion that China’s economic reopening after years of COVID-19-inspired lockdowns could have major ramifications for commodities, particularly industrial metals.

Expect a decline in rates by year-end BofA expects the Treasury yield curve to dis-invert while rates volatility falls. By the end of the year, credit strategists estimate yields on both two-year notes and 10-year notes will end at 3.25%. Sectors hurt by rising rates in 2022 may benefit in 2023, according to BofA rates strategist Mark Cabana.

Industrial metals get a boost In particular, copper prices could rise by 20% next year. “Recessions in key markets are a headwind, but China reopening, a peaking dollar and especially an acceleration of renewables investment more than offset these negative factors,” said Michael Widmer, senior metals strategist.

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