46% of registered voters say they are “certain to vote against President Trump” in 2020, latest NBC News/WSJ poll finds.
Do the math and the figures suggest that Trump needs to win nearly all of that “depends on the nominee” vote to win the popular vote in 2020.the presidential race — including Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. In those states, 46 percent of the registered voters also say they are “certain to vote against Trump.”
The larger message in this poll is how much of the electorate seems to be dug in, even before we know who is going to be on the ballot next fall. There simply isn’t a lot of room for movement in the data. On the other side of the ledger, the president’s strongest support comes from men without a college degree — 40 percent of those registered voters say they are certain they will vote for Trump. Only 23 percent say they are certain to vote against him.
More than 40 percent of the undecided voters are men without a college degree. Next in line, 28 percent are women without a degree. The 2016 exit polls showed Trump won the majority of the voters who did not have a degree.
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