'Good map for Democrats': NateSilver538 assesses odds of Republicans winning Senate
Polling guru Nate Silver says the fight between parties to win control of the Senate in the 2022 midterm elections is a"toss-up."
Republicans need a net gain of only one seat to take control of the upper chamber, which is split 50-50, with Vice President Kamala Harris acting as the tiebreaker. But even with President Joe Biden's low poll numbers and rising inflation, it remains a tough call for the GOP.After noting that FiveThirtyEight's model pegs the Democrats as having a very low chance of maintaining control of the House, Silver said it is a"very different story" for the Senate.
“Even though Republicans only need to gain a net of one seat in the Senate, our model thinks the chance of that is only about 50 percent. In other words, it's a toss-up.” @NateSilver538 has the latest 2022 election analysis: https://t.co/DZrZB3dU0j pic.twitter.com/0hn9pqgHYy — This Week July 3, 2022 "Republicans are defending 21 seats, to 14 for Democrats," he added."And all the Democrats are in states that Joe Biden won. But Republicans have taken some good risks with their candidates, electing several nominees in key races who are either politically inexperienced, like Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, or have personal scandals, like Herschel Walker in Georgia, or have made controversial statements on abortion, like J.D. Vance in Ohio.
Republicans are promising some major investigations if they win one or both chambers of Congress in the fall. Among them are inquiries into Dr. Anthony Fauci, Hunter Biden, and the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan.
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