The world is likely to hit 1.5C of warming within the next five years because of El Niño and rising carbon emissions.
Since 2020 the World Meteorological Organisation has been giving an estimate of the chances of the world breaking the 1.5C threshold in any one year.By last year this had increased to 50%, and now it's jumped to 66%, which the scientists say means it's "more likely than not."The figure is not a direct measure of the world's temperature but an indicator of how much or how little the Earth has warmed or cooled compared to the long term global average.
Over the past few decades our overheating world has nudged the mercury up so that in 2016, the warmest on record, global temperatures were 1.28C above the pre-industrial figure.- they are 98% certain the high mark will be broken before 2027. "I think that's perhaps the most stark and obvious and simplest statistic that we've got in the report," he told a news conference.
"This report does not mean that we will permanently exceed the 1.5C level specified in the Paris Agreement which refers to long-term warming over many years," said WMO Secretary-General Prof. Petteri Taalas
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