The danger is that the coalition that emerges as Germany's next government will have no mandate for the vital policy decisions it needs to take
Our results demonstrate just how uncertain the election remains. Voters are not only unsure who will win; many are also unsure what the parties really stand for. The campaign has been dispiritingly superficial, avoiding serious policy debate and focusing instead on the peccadillos and gaffes of party leaders. At a critical moment in their history, German citizens are not being given a clear choice of direction. The parties need to do better.
Strategically, their caution is understandable. None of the big parties’ candidates is well-liked. The’s Armin Laschet secured his party's backing for the chancellery by positioning himself as the blandest contender, and the campaign has confirmed his reputation for dithering. Annalena Baerbock, the Green candidate, had a brief burst of approval after her nomination in April, but handled a plagiarism scandal poorly and has since grown timid.
Yet on a host of issues, Germany’s parties should be making it crystal clear where they stand. The floods in July drove home the urgency of stronger policies to curb climate change, an area where Germany—with its huge motor industry and humming coal-fired power plants—faces big challenges. Germany will find it hard to sustain its chummy economic relationship with China, which the rest of the West has come to see as a strategic competitor.
On all of these issues, the parties have real differences. The Greens want a state-led transition to net-zero carbon emissions, a tougher stance towards China and Russia and greater European unity. Thewant to give business time to adjust to a low-carbon economy and balance foreign-policy independence from China with economic co-operation. TheVoters are hearing precious little about these differences.
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