Events that harm the public’s trust in law enforcement, such as police shootings will inevitably hinder civilian and community engagement, putting the lives of civilians and officers at risk
says that when a police shooting captures the American public's attention, sparking outrage over police violence, officers respond by pulling back, in a phenomenon known as the "Ferguson effect" . Common sense also suggests that, during a period of widespread discontent with police, ordinary people will be less likely to engage with them. Criminologists are divided over whether the Ferguson effect actually exists.
from Desmond Ang, an economist at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and his colleagues shows that the latter phenomenon is real: in the wake of George Floyd’s murder in May 2020, civilian engagement with police plummetedA daily email with the best of our journalismTo measure public interactions with police, the authors combined police-related 911 calls with data from ShotSpotter, which uses audio sensors placed around American cities to detect and alert police to gunshots.
Mr Ang and his colleagues found that in the week before Mr Floyd’s death on May 25th, there were around 200 calls to 911 made for every shot detected by ShotSpotter. After the 25th there were only around 90 . This drop in the call-to-shot ratio was driven by both an increase in the number of shots detected and a decrease in the volume of 911 calls. The former may raise doubts about the accuracy of the data: the protests sparked by Mr Floyd’s death made cities much noisier places than usual.
The findings may reshape social scientists’ understanding of the Ferguson effect. Calls from the public are an important source of information for police, says Mr Ang. “Civilian and community engagement are needed for the police to do a good job, to identify and solve crimes and to ensure public safety.
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