Gas Cars Are Embarrassingly Uncompetitive — Lifecycle Cost Analysis
articles comparing battery electric vehicles against similar internal combustion engine vehicles . A 5-year timeframe is the norm for this type of analysis since many people flip their vehicles at this point. Invariably, BEVs prove to be cheaper than comparable ICEVs in these models, all things considered, even when purchase price of the BEV is higher.
Vehicle costing programs are relatively simple, but the models still need to use accurate information, and they need to be transparent in their assumptions. We regularly see analysts differ in their predictions, and the reason for this is because they are using different assumptions and/or they miss some important inputs. If the analyst does not post their assumptions, the reader has no way of knowing if the projection is valid.
For this article, I’m not going to overthink it. The fact is we are still very much in the early days of BEVs and we just don’t have all of the data yet. To get around this important variable, I’m going to include two costing models, one where the BEV lasts only as long as ICE cars and one where the BEV lasts 50% longer.
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