Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT), chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, are working to recruit the most electable candidates in must-win swing states to retake the majority next year.
Democrats currently control the Senate by a 51-49 margin, a slim majority threatened by a tough 2024 map that includes four swing- or red-state incumbents up for reelection. This means that Republicans only need to net two seats to win back the Senate. Daines and McConnell have their eye on four 2024 races that could hand them the majority: Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. In all four, incumbent Democrats face uphill climbs to hold on to their seats.
Of those challengers, Daines and McConnell are close to recruiting Tim Sheehy, a decorated military veteran and businessman, to join the race. Tester's decision to run for a fourth term was a major win for Democrats, giving the party a fighting chance in a state Trump carried by over 16 points in 2020.
Among the leading declared and prospective candidates are state Sen. Matt Dolan, who came in a close third in the 2022 GOP Senate primary; Bernie Moreno, an Ohio-based businessman with ties to former President Donald Trump; Rep. Warren Davidson , a member of the House Freedom Caucus with the backing of the Club for Growth; and Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose.
Daines has reportedly encouraged David McCormick, who ran in the 2022 GOP Senate primary for the vacant seat eventually won by Sen. John Fetterman , to run again in 2024. McCormick, the former Bridgewater chief executive, narrowly lost the 2022 primary to Republican celebrity physician Dr. Mehmet Oz, who advanced to the general election as a bruised candidate. He has not decided whether to announce for the 2024 contest, though he is not the only GOP name mulling a run.
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