Market Overview Analysis by Investing.com (Thomas Monteiro) covering: United States 2-Year, United States 10-Year. Read Investing.com (Thomas Monteiro)'s latest article on Investing.com
Moreover, the chances of a rate hike in November experienced a significant uptick, exceeding the 50% mark.
However, the Jackson Hole event from last Friday appears to have made clear that a new phase of this cycle is already underway: one in which ambiguity IS the core of the Fed’s monetary policy and not just another tool. Powell said in his speech: “Two months of good data are only the beginning of what it will take to build confidence that inflation is moving down sustainably toward our goal. There is substantial further ground to cover.” said Powell.Well, in the jawboning phase, Powell and Co. were actively misleading the market by constantly affirming the opposite of what they had planned on doing in the near future.
Now, the Fed finds itself uncertain about its future course of action. However, as it has found out, it wants things to stay that way. This indicates that regardless of whether the Fed decides to raise rates once more, conditions will continue to be highly constricted along the entire spectrum of interest rates and within the broader economy.Bond Vigilantes and the Fed
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