A Reddit post suggested NASA made odds an asteroid strike was likelier than dying in a plane crash.
. With just 3 days of arc, I found about 1 in 400 chance of impact on Feb. 14, 2046 . Surely this possibility will soon be ruled out, however, as an exercise, I calculated where the asteroid might fall if this possibility occurred."
Sicoli's tweet included a map that showed the range the asteroid could hit, along a plane between southern India and the U.S. east coast. While one in 400 may seem like a small probability, it is far less than the likelihood of other calamitous odds such as, drowning, or even choking on food, according to the National Safety Council.
The European Space Agency's Near Earth Objects Coordination Centre has made a lower probability prediction of one in 625. Interestingly, it does not have the lowest probability among all asteroids that could hit the Earth.
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