FAA predicted Boeing 737 Max, facing more delays, would crash 15 times over its lifetime
As the process of recertifying the Boeing 737 Max is sure to stretch into 2020, a House committee released documents Wednesday showing the Federal Aviation Administration predicted the troubled jet had the potential of being involved in 15 fatal crashes over its service life if changes weren't made.
The FAA analysis, conducted in December 2018 about a month after the first crash, showed that over the expected lifetime of the Boeing 737 Max, about 45 years, it would be likely to be involved in 15.4 accidents involving fatalities if no improvements in light of the Lion Air crash were made. The analysis is based on an expected fleet of 4,800 aircraft.
The disclosure that the FAA predicted the crashes with a level of unacceptable risk stunned one the parents of crash victims who attended the hearing. Michael Stumo, whose daughter Samya died when the Ethiopian Airlines flight crashed, said the FAA and Boeing didn't do enough as a result. The 737 Max won't be in service again until the FAA determines a proposed software fix and pilot retraining program are adequate, he said. The flight system changes will have to be certified in a test flight. A Joint Operations Evaluation Board, which includes members from Canada, Europe and Brazil, needs to sign off on revised training.
More on Max: Southwest, American, United: No Boeing 737 Max flights until March even if plane returns sooner
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