Turkey has been a playground of political alliances since the country’s crucial referendum on shifting toward the presidential system in 2017. Here we explain why
A woman walks past posters showing Binali Yildirim, left, the joint candidate for Istanbul of the People’s Alliance, which is comprised AK Party and the MHP in Istanbul on March 4 2019. On the right, the poster of Ekrem Imamoglu, the candidate of the Nation Alliance, which is comprised of the leftist CHP and conservative IYI Party, stands.
Erdogan’s AK Party has been allied with the conservative MHP, calling it the People’s Alliance, which will field candidates in 51 provinces out of 81. The main opposition leftist CHP has joined with the conservative IYI Party, creating what they have named the Nation’s Alliance and fielding their candidates in 50 provinces. The formation is a replica of the alliances that were formed in the crucial 2018 presidential and parliamentary elections.
In pre-referendum Turkey, the centre-right parties often had about 65 percent voter base, while the centre-left had 35 percent support, according to Keyman. Keyman also thinks the presidential democracy caters to the fast changing demography of Turkey, where rapid urbanisation is bringing in diversity and the need to address the populace through fair political representation, which becomes possible through coalitions and political alliances.
As the AK Party joined with the MHP in what was a test for both Erdogan’s political skill and for the new electoral system. And it worked. Erdogan retained his presidency with executive powers and his party also maintained a decisive footprint in the parliament with the support of MHP. In 2018, despite the three-party alliance, the opposition lost. However, the CHP and IYI Party have once again joined hands to counter the rival alliance of MHP and AK Party for the upcoming elections. “Turkish politics is incrementally evolving toward a two-party system through these new realignments. The two-party system will not emerge with just one election term. To see that, we need to pass at least two general election periods,” Ozgurel observed.
But Ahmet Tarik Celenk, a conservative political analyst and writer, has a different opinion on the future of Turkey's new electoral alliances.
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