Expert picks and best bets for UFC 292 and 2023 PFL playoffs

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Expert picks and best bets for UFC 292 and 2023 PFL playoffs
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Who has the edge in this week's UFC pay-per-view? Our MMA analyst and betting insiders make their picks

He's got to get a hold of O'Malley. Utilize his wrestling to get O'Malley on the mat, and then control him there. From there, Sterling can use his ground and pound or his jiu-jitsu skills to take the back to dictate the fight. Sterling's ability to take his opponent's back is among the best in the entire promotion.

The way he uses his wrestling to create scrambles, and then get the takedown to get the opponent's back is so impressive. We saw him do it against top-level guys like Cejudo, Yan and. None of them had an answer for it. Sometimes Sterling is able to get the submission from that position and other times he's just able to control from there.

O'Malley stance switches a lot, which helps him maintain lateral movement. Plus, he is dangerous from both stances. His jabs and straight punches are fast and clean. When you get a guy like Sterling, who has okay striking -- but not at the level of O'Malley -- and has a tendency to keep his hands low, that's a recipe for trouble against O'Malley who is a sniper. At some point in the fight, O'Malley is going to find his opponent's chin.

As we saw in his fight against Yan, O'Malley was able to use his knees to disrupt Yan's wrestling and even cut him open. Those strikes slowed down the pressure of Yan. I could see him using a similar game plan against the heavy wrestling approach of Sterling.What does O'Malley look like in the championship rounds? We've seen him go the distance in a hard-fought split decision over Yan in his last fight, but that was a three-round fight.

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