Whether you’re a Democrat or a Republican, there’s a major battle over the future of your party taking place today in Ohio. FiveThirtyEight breaks it down:
And even if Trump’s influence is on the decline, it might not be for the reason you might assume. A Carey losssignal that Republican voters are ready to move on from Trump — or it could mean simply that other Republican leaders have agency, too. Whether because Trump now lacks the awesome power of the presidency or simply the ability to angrily tweet, some Republican politicians and organizations clearly feel comfortable expressing a different preference from him in both Ohio and Texas.
So our advice for following the primaries in both the Ohio 11th and Ohio 15th is not to read too much into the results. The 2022 election cycle is just barely underway, and there are dozens of Democratic and Republican primaries that will give us a lot more data soon enough. It won’t be long until we know a lot more about the direction each party is headed.
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