In 2009, Daniel backed Alexander Rybak's song Fairytale to win the contest. The profits paid off the mortgage on his flat in Kentish Town. He decided to quit his job as a history teacher and go full-time as a Eurovision gambler.
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He told me Daniel had always been a Eurovision fan, but in 2004, he realised he could make serious money from it.In 2009, Daniel backed Alexander Rybak's song Fairytale to win the contest For months every year, Daniel lived and breathed Eurovision - analysing trends, researching performers, tracking rumours on obscure discussion forums. He'd scrutinise the ever-shifting odds on various markets, from winner to top ten to semi-final qualifiers. He would trade these Eurovision bets like city brokers trade shares, trying to anticipate shifts in sentiment. This was no compulsive gambling - it was relentless hard work and calculation.
Daniel was. His historical knowledge helped him understand relationships among countries. His travelling honed his gut-feel for pop culture across the continent. He even wrote an article for the BBC a few years ago,He covered every angle. Watching rehearsals, he'd analyse staging and camerawork choices. After the semi-finals, he'd track which songs got traction on Google Trends, Spotify or YouTube. He'd consider the running order.
Meanwhile, he'd been betting heavily on the quirky song from Israel - Toy, by Netta. He thought it was just the kind of thing the Eurovision audience would go for. When the semi-final was broadcast, Daniel realised he'd got Cyprus wrong. Viewers loved the song.Daniel had been betting heavily on the quirky song from Israel - Toy, by Netta
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