A number of ECB policymakers have been doubling down on the central bank’s position on interest rates and inflation, saying that higher rates are needed for longer to quell double-digit price pressures. Get your market update from nickcawley1 here:
is under pressure as traders start to look through higher US rate expectations and instead focus on when the Fed may pause its tightening cycle. Although this may be months away, the fact the markets are already looking for a turnaround is weighing on the greenback. Add into the mix this week’s US midterm elections, and which party may control either or both of the House and the Senate, and the US dollar will likely remain volatile in the days and weeks ahead.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EUR/USD prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a
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