Will the European Parliament block their nominee to head the European Commission?
EMMANUEL MACRON is a lucky man. His rivals and opponents have a habit of shooting themselves in the foot. In the French presidential election in 2017 his main centre-right rival was consumed by a corruption scandal. Earlier this year anti-government gilets jaunes protesters surged then faded as disorganisation and public-relations mistakes took their toll.
The first took place last November, when the European People’s Party , the group of centre-right parties, picked Manfred Weber, a Bavarian member of the European Parliament, as its lead candidate. The EPP came first in the European Parliament elections that took place from May 23rd to 26th, which under the Spitzenkandidat convention would have made Mr Weber the prime candidate for the commission.
The summit on June 30th dragged on into July 1st. By breakfast it was clear that neither Mr Timmermans nor Mr Weber could command the necessary support. Leaders suspended the talks until the following morning, when Mr Macron floated the idea of Mrs von der Leyen. Acceptable to Mrs Merkel, the rest of the EPP, the easterners and to left-of-centre governments, she was the tolerable candidate exhausted leaders could accept.
All of which makes support for the package in the parliament uncertain. In votes on the parliament’s own presidency on July 3rd MEPs from the “grand coalition” of moderate pro-EU parties—the EPP, S&D and liberals—splintered as some social democrats backed the Green candidate and easterners in the EPP backed a Czech from a more right-wing group.
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